Identify cues that actually predict outcomes
Before trusting any shortcut, gather quick evidence about what matters most. For hiring, maybe portfolio depth predicts first-month performance better than interview charisma. For restaurants, consistent weekday crowd size might beat online ratings. Pick one candidate cue, run a week of micro-tests, and score outcomes honestly. If the cue fails, swap it without ceremony. If it works, harden it with a crisp, observable definition.